SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Wakrah win with a probability of 45.29%. A win for Al Gharafa had a probability of 31.91% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Wakrah win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.74%) and 0-2 (6.08%). The likeliest Al Gharafa win was 2-1 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Al Gharafa | Draw | Al Wakrah |
31.91% ( -0.42) | 22.79% ( 0.13) | 45.29% ( 0.29) |
| Both teams to score 64.56% ( -0.71) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.76% ( -0.84) | 36.24% ( 0.84) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.64% ( -0.93) | 58.36% ( 0.93) |
| Al Gharafa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.32% ( -0.64) | 22.68% ( 0.64) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.66% ( -0.96) | 56.33% ( 0.96) |
| Al Wakrah Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.5% ( -0.22) | 16.5% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.76% ( -0.4) | 46.23% ( 0.4) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al Gharafa | Draw | Al Wakrah |
| 2-1 @ 7.42% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 5.55% ( 0.13)2-0 @ 4.12% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.67% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 3.31% ( -0.1)3-0 @ 2.04% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.36% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.06)Other @ 3.22% Total : 31.91% | 1-1 @ 10% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 6.69% ( -0.07)0-0 @ 3.74% ( 0.15)3-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.37% Total : 22.79% | 1-2 @ 9.01% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 6.74% ( 0.23)0-2 @ 6.08% ( 0.16)1-3 @ 5.41% ( 0)2-3 @ 4.02% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 3.65% ( 0.07)1-4 @ 2.44% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.81% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 1.64% ( 0.02)Other @ 4.5% Total : 45.29% |
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