SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Sadd win with a probability of 59.53%. A win for Al Gharafa had a probability of 21.73% and a draw had a probability of 18.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Sadd win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.19%) and 2-0 (6.05%). The likeliest Al Gharafa win was 1-2 (5.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.16%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Sadd would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Al-Sadd | Draw | Al Gharafa |
59.53% ( 0.04) | 18.75% ( 0) | 21.73% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 70.05% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 74.82% ( -0.07) | 25.17% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 54.85% ( -0.09) | 45.14% ( 0.09) |
| Al-Sadd Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.41% ( -0.01) | 8.58% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 70.34% ( -0.03) | 29.66% ( 0.03) |
| Al Gharafa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.63% ( -0.08) | 23.37% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.66% ( -0.11) | 57.34% ( 0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al-Sadd | Draw | Al Gharafa |
| 2-1 @ 8.79% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 7.19% ( 0)2-0 @ 6.05% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 5.23% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.95% ( 0.02)1-0 @ 4.93% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 4.42% ( 0)4-2 @ 3.21% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 3.04% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 2.17% ( -0)5-2 @ 1.58% ( -0)4-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.49% ( 0)Other @ 4.94% Total : 59.53% | 1-1 @ 7.16% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.39% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 2.53% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 2.01% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.66% Total : 18.75% | 1-2 @ 5.21% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.1% ( -0.01)0-1 @ 2.92% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.52% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.12% 2-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.03% ( -0)3-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 0.92% ( -0)Other @ 1.88% Total : 21.73% |
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