Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Sadd win with a probability of 59.53%. A win for Al Gharafa had a probability of 21.73% and a draw had a probability of 18.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Sadd win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.19%) and 2-0 (6.05%). The likeliest Al Gharafa win was 1-2 (5.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.16%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Sadd would win this match.

Result
Al-Sadd	Draw	Al Gharafa
59.53% ( 0.04)	18.75% ( 0)	21.73% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 70.05% (

-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

74.82% (

-0.07)

25.17% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

54.85% (

-0.09)

45.14% (

0.09)

Al-Sadd Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.41% (

-0.01)

8.58% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

70.34% (

-0.03)

29.66% (

0.03)

Al Gharafa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.63% (

-0.08)

23.37% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.66% (

-0.11)

57.34% (

0.11)

Score Analysis

Al-Sadd 59.53%

Al Gharafa 21.73%

Draw 18.75%

Al-Sadd	Draw	Al Gharafa
2-1 @ 8.79% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 7.19% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.05% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 5.23% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.95% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 4.93% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 4.42% ( 0) 4-2 @ 3.21% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 3.04% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 2.17% ( -0) 5-2 @ 1.58% ( -0) 4-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.49% ( 0) Other @ 4.94% Total : 59.53%	1-1 @ 7.16% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.39% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 2.53% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 2.01% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.66% Total : 18.75%	1-2 @ 5.21% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.1% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 2.92% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.52% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.12% 2-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.03% ( -0) 3-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 1.88% Total : 21.73%