Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ahli win with a probability of 47.39%. A win for Al Markhiya had a probability of 30% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al Ahli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.95%) and 2-0 (6.42%). The likeliest Al Markhiya win was 1-2 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.

Result
Al Ahli	Draw	Al Markhiya
47.39% ( -0.01)	22.61% ( 0)	30% ( 0)

Both teams to score 64.12% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.64% (

-0)

36.36% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.51% (

-0)

58.49% (

Al Ahli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.22% (

-0)

15.77% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.09% (

-0.01)

44.9% (

0.01)

Al Markhiya Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.13% (

23.87% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.93% (

58.06% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Al Ahli 47.39%

Al Markhiya 30%

Draw 22.61%

Al Ahli	Draw	Al Markhiya
2-1 @ 9.2% ( -0) 1-0 @ 6.95% 2-0 @ 6.42% 3-1 @ 5.66% ( -0) 3-2 @ 4.06% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.95% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.61% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.87% 4-0 @ 1.83% ( -0) 5-1 @ 0.97% Other @ 3.87% Total : 47.39%	1-1 @ 9.96% ( 0) 2-2 @ 6.59% 0-0 @ 3.77% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.94% Other @ 0.36% Total : 22.61%	1-2 @ 7.14% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.39% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.86% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.41% 2-3 @ 3.15% 0-3 @ 1.85% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.22% 2-4 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.86% Total : 30%