SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Wakrah win with a probability of 55.89%. A win for Al Ahli had a probability of 23.53% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Wakrah win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.99%) and 3-1 (6.77%). The likeliest Al Ahli win was 1-2 (5.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al Wakrah would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Al Wakrah | Draw | Al Ahli |
55.89% ( -0.01) | 20.57% | 23.53% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 65.44% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.97% ( 0.02) | 32.03% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.4% ( 0.02) | 53.6% ( -0.02) |
| Al Wakrah Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.41% ( -0) | 11.59% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.44% ( 0) | 36.56% ( -0) |
| Al Ahli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.02% ( 0.02) | 25.98% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39% ( 0.03) | 61% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al Wakrah | Draw | Al Ahli |
| 2-1 @ 9.42% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.99% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 6.77% ( -0)1-0 @ 6.49% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 5.02% ( -0)3-2 @ 4.56% ( 0)4-1 @ 3.65% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.71% ( -0)4-2 @ 2.46% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.57% 5-0 @ 1.17% ( -0)4-3 @ 1.11% ( 0)5-2 @ 1.06% ( 0)Other @ 2.92% Total : 55.9% | 1-1 @ 8.75% ( -0) 2-2 @ 6.35% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.01% ( -0)3-3 @ 2.05% ( 0)Other @ 0.42% Total : 20.57% | 1-2 @ 5.89% ( 0) 0-1 @ 4.06% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.85% ( 0)0-2 @ 2.73% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.65% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.23% ( 0)2-4 @ 0.96% ( 0)Other @ 3.15% Total : 23.53% |
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