SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Arabi win with a probability of 45.82%. A win for Al Wakrah had a probability of 31.57% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Arabi win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.6%) and 0-2 (6.05%). The likeliest Al Wakrah win was 2-1 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al Arabi would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Al Wakrah | Draw | Al Arabi |
31.57% ( -1.83) | 22.61% ( -0.05) | 45.82% ( 1.89) |
| Both teams to score 65.07% ( -0.64) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.51% ( -0.5) | 35.49% ( 0.5) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.46% ( -0.56) | 57.53% ( 0.56) |
| Al Wakrah Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.48% ( -1.24) | 22.51% ( 1.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.91% ( -1.89) | 56.08% ( 1.89) |
| Al Arabi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.98% ( 0.52) | 16.01% ( -0.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.65% ( 0.94) | 45.35% ( -0.93) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al Wakrah | Draw | Al Arabi |
| 2-1 @ 7.34% ( -0.24) 1-0 @ 5.38% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 4.01% ( -0.2)3-1 @ 3.65% ( -0.26)3-2 @ 3.34% ( -0.18)3-0 @ 1.99% ( -0.18)4-1 @ 1.36% ( -0.15)4-2 @ 1.25% ( -0.12)Other @ 3.26% Total : 31.57% | 1-1 @ 9.85% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 6.72% ( -0.1)0-0 @ 3.61% ( 0.09)3-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.39% Total : 22.61% | 1-2 @ 9.02% ( 0.2) 0-1 @ 6.6% ( 0.28)0-2 @ 6.05% ( 0.35)1-3 @ 5.51% ( 0.22)2-3 @ 4.11% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.69% ( 0.28)1-4 @ 2.52% ( 0.14)2-4 @ 1.88% ( 0.04)0-4 @ 1.69% ( 0.15)3-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.02)1-5 @ 0.92% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.89% Total : 45.82% |
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