Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic | 2 | 5 | 6 |
2 | Dumbarton | 2 | 3 | 6 |
3 | Annan Athletic | 2 | 0 | 3 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
2 | Dumbarton | 2 | 3 | 6 |
3 | Annan Athletic | 2 | 0 | 3 |
4 | Forfar Athletic | 2 | 0 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dumbarton win with a probability of 42.74%. A win for Annan Athletic had a probability of 30.01% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dumbarton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.63%) and 2-0 (8.01%). The likeliest Annan Athletic win was 0-1 (9.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dumbarton would win this match.
Result | ||
Dumbarton | Draw | Annan Athletic |
42.74% ( 0.38) | 27.24% ( -0.22) | 30.01% ( -0.17) |
Both teams to score 48.7% ( 0.54) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.51% ( 0.72) | 56.48% ( -0.73) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.51% ( 0.58) | 77.48% ( -0.59) |
Dumbarton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.85% ( 0.53) | 26.15% ( -0.54) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.77% ( 0.71) | 61.22% ( -0.72) |
Annan Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.94% ( 0.25) | 34.05% ( -0.26) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.26% ( 0.27) | 70.74% ( -0.28) |
Score Analysis |
Dumbarton | Draw | Annan Athletic |
1-0 @ 11.94% ( -0.15) 2-1 @ 8.63% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 8.01% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.86% ( 0.1) 3-0 @ 3.58% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.08% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 1.29% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 1.2% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.15% Total : 42.74% | 1-1 @ 12.86% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 8.9% ( -0.25) 2-2 @ 4.65% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.23% | 0-1 @ 9.59% ( -0.2) 1-2 @ 6.93% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.17% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 2.49% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.67% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.31% Total : 30.01% |
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