SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Inverness Caledonian Thistle | 6 | 1 | 8 |
| 6 | Greenock Morton | 6 | 0 | 8 |
| 7 | Hamilton Academical | 6 | -1 | 7 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Raith Rovers | 6 | -3 | 6 |
| 9 | Cove Rangers | 6 | -4 | 4 |
| 10 | Arbroath | 6 | -6 | 2 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 37.29%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 33.9% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.7%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 0-1 (11.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Arbroath |
37.29% ( -0.32) | 28.8% ( 0.11) | 33.9% ( 0.2) |
| Both teams to score 45.33% ( -0.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.77% ( -0.38) | 61.23% ( 0.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.83% ( -0.29) | 81.16% ( 0.28) |
| Greenock Morton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.44% ( -0.39) | 31.55% ( 0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.05% ( -0.45) | 67.95% ( 0.45) |
| Arbroath Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.22% ( -0.06) | 33.77% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.56% ( -0.07) | 70.43% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Arbroath |
| 1-0 @ 12.29% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 7.7% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 7.09% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 2.96% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 2.73% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 1.61% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.93% Total : 37.29% | 1-1 @ 13.34% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 10.65% ( 0.15)2-2 @ 4.18% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.63% Total : 28.8% | 0-1 @ 11.56% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 7.24% ( 0)0-2 @ 6.28% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 2.62% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.27% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.41% Total : 33.89% |
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