SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Greenock Morton | 4 | 0 | 5 |
| 8 | Hamilton Academical | 4 | -2 | 3 |
| 9 | Cove Rangers | 4 | -3 | 3 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Hamilton Academical | 4 | -2 | 3 |
| 9 | Cove Rangers | 4 | -3 | 3 |
| 10 | Arbroath | 4 | -3 | 2 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamilton Academical win with a probability of 46.8%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 26.75% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamilton Academical win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (8.84%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 0-1 (8.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Hamilton Academical in this match.
| Result | ||
| Hamilton Academical | Draw | Arbroath |
46.8% ( 0.27) | 26.44% ( -0.27) | 26.75% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 49.04% ( 0.78) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.91% ( 1.01) | 55.09% ( -1.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.66% ( 0.83) | 76.34% ( -0.83) |
| Hamilton Academical Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.47% ( 0.57) | 23.52% ( -0.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.43% ( 0.81) | 57.56% ( -0.82) |
| Arbroath Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.13% ( 0.55) | 35.87% ( -0.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.36% ( 0.56) | 72.64% ( -0.56) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hamilton Academical | Draw | Arbroath |
| 1-0 @ 12.21% ( -0.27) 2-1 @ 9.06% ( 0.08)2-0 @ 8.84% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 4.37% ( 0.11)3-0 @ 4.26% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 2.24% ( 0.09)4-1 @ 1.58% ( 0.07)4-0 @ 1.54% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.7% Total : 46.8% | 1-1 @ 12.51% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 8.44% ( -0.34)2-2 @ 4.64% ( 0.11)Other @ 0.84% Total : 26.43% | 0-1 @ 8.65% ( -0.21) 1-2 @ 6.42% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 4.44% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 2.19% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 1.59% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.95% Total : 26.75% |
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