Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamilton Academical win with a probability of 46.8%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 26.75% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hamilton Academical win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (8.84%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 0-1 (8.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Hamilton Academical in this match.

Result
Hamilton Academical	Draw	Arbroath
46.8% ( 0.27)	26.44% ( -0.27)	26.75% ( -0)

Both teams to score 49.04% (

0.78)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.91% (

1.01)

55.09% (

-1.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.66% (

0.83)

76.34% (

-0.83)

Hamilton Academical Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.47% (

0.57)

23.52% (

-0.57)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.43% (

0.81)

57.56% (

-0.82)

Arbroath Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.13% (

0.55)

35.87% (

-0.55)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.36% (

0.56)

72.64% (

-0.56)

Score Analysis

Hamilton Academical 46.8%

Arbroath 26.75%

Draw 26.43%

Hamilton Academical	Draw	Arbroath
1-0 @ 12.21% ( -0.27) 2-1 @ 9.06% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 8.84% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 4.37% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 4.26% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.24% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 1.58% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 1.54% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.7% Total : 46.8%	1-1 @ 12.51% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 8.44% ( -0.34) 2-2 @ 4.64% ( 0.11) Other @ 0.84% Total : 26.43%	0-1 @ 8.65% ( -0.21) 1-2 @ 6.42% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 4.44% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.19% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 1.59% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.95% Total : 26.75%