SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coleraine win with a probability of 49.05%. A win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 26.63% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coleraine win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.53%) and 0-2 (8.23%). The likeliest Carrick Rangers win was 1-0 (6.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Carrick Rangers | Draw | Coleraine |
26.63% ( -0.08) | 24.32% ( 0.14) | 49.05% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 55.51% ( -0.53) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.43% ( -0.67) | 46.57% ( 0.67) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.16% ( -0.63) | 68.85% ( 0.63) |
| Carrick Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.58% ( -0.42) | 31.42% ( 0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.2% ( -0.48) | 67.8% ( 0.48) |
| Coleraine Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.95% ( -0.28) | 19.05% ( 0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.36% ( -0.47) | 50.64% ( 0.47) |
| Score Analysis |
| Carrick Rangers | Draw | Coleraine |
| 1-0 @ 6.93% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 6.65% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 4.01% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 2.57% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.13% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 1.55% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.8% Total : 26.64% | 1-1 @ 11.49% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 5.99% ( 0.17)2-2 @ 5.51% ( -0.07)3-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.32% | 0-1 @ 9.93% ( 0.19) 1-2 @ 9.53% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 8.23% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 5.27% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 4.55% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.05% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 2.18% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 1.89% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.18% Total : 49.05% |
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