SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coleraine win with a probability of 51.4%. A win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 25.24% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coleraine win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.29%) and 0-2 (8.24%). The likeliest Dungannon Swifts win was 2-1 (6.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dungannon Swifts | Draw | Coleraine |
25.24% ( 0.01) | 23.36% ( 0.04) | 51.4% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 57.4% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.53% ( -0.16) | 43.47% ( 0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.14% ( -0.16) | 65.86% ( 0.16) |
| Dungannon Swifts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.13% ( -0.08) | 30.87% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.84% ( -0.09) | 67.16% ( 0.1) |
| Coleraine Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.03% ( -0.08) | 16.97% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.93% ( -0.14) | 47.07% ( 0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dungannon Swifts | Draw | Coleraine |
| 2-1 @ 6.42% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.16% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 3.62% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.51% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.23% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.42% ( 0)Other @ 2.89% Total : 25.24% | 1-1 @ 10.92% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.69% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.24% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.36% | 1-2 @ 9.69% ( -0) 0-1 @ 9.29% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 8.24% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 5.73% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 4.87% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.37% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 2.54% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 2.16% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.49% ( -0.01)1-5 @ 0.9% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.12% Total : 51.4% |
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