SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 50.85%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Coleraine had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.4%) and 1-2 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.38%), while for a Coleraine win it was 1-0 (8.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Linfield would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Coleraine | Draw | Linfield |
22.4% ( 0.06) | 26.75% ( 0.09) | 50.85% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 44.22% ( -0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.7% ( -0.28) | 59.3% ( 0.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.3% ( -0.21) | 79.7% ( 0.21) |
| Coleraine Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.8% ( -0.1) | 42.2% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.39% ( -0.09) | 78.61% ( 0.09) |
| Linfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.52% ( -0.19) | 23.48% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.5% ( -0.27) | 57.5% ( 0.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Coleraine | Draw | Linfield |
| 1-0 @ 8.55% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 5.34% ( -0)2-0 @ 3.69% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 1.54% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.11% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.06% ( 0)Other @ 1.11% Total : 22.4% | 1-1 @ 12.38% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 9.91% ( 0.1)2-2 @ 3.87% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.58% Total : 26.74% | 0-1 @ 14.35% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 10.4% 1-2 @ 8.97% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 5.03% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 4.34% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.82% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.57% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.5% Total : 50.84% |
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