SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dumbarton win with a probability of 66.99%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Berwick had a probability of 15.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dumbarton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.83%) and 3-1 (7.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.86%), while for a Berwick win it was 1-2 (4.25%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dumbarton would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dumbarton | Draw | Berwick |
66.99% ( -1.89) | 17.79% ( 0.49) | 15.21% ( 1.39) |
| Both teams to score 60.21% ( 2.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.03% ( 0.83) | 31.97% ( -0.84) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.47% ( 0.97) | 53.52% ( -0.97) |
| Dumbarton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.15% ( -0.2) | 8.84% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.71% ( -0.48) | 30.28% ( 0.48) |
| Berwick Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.05% ( 2.36) | 33.94% ( -2.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.38% ( 2.48) | 70.62% ( -2.48) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dumbarton | Draw | Berwick |
| 2-1 @ 9.54% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.83% ( -0.58)3-1 @ 7.71% ( -0.06)1-0 @ 7.28% ( -0.41)3-0 @ 7.14% ( -0.54)4-1 @ 4.68% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 4.33% ( -0.37)3-2 @ 4.17% ( 0.23)4-2 @ 2.53% ( 0.12)5-1 @ 2.27% ( -0.06)5-0 @ 2.1% ( -0.2)5-2 @ 1.23% ( 0.04)6-1 @ 0.92% ( -0.03)4-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.1)Other @ 3.36% Total : 66.99% | 1-1 @ 7.86% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.15% ( 0.33)0-0 @ 3% ( -0.14)3-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.17)Other @ 0.27% Total : 17.79% | 1-2 @ 4.25% ( 0.31) 0-1 @ 3.24% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 1.86% ( 0.23)0-2 @ 1.75% ( 0.14)1-3 @ 1.53% ( 0.2)Other @ 2.58% Total : 15.21% |
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