SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 59.96%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Dumbarton had a probability of 18.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.1%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.18%), while for a Dumbarton win it was 0-1 (5.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle | Draw | Dumbarton |
59.96% ( 0.09) | 21.56% ( 0.02) | 18.48% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 53.78% ( -0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.31% ( -0.25) | 43.68% ( 0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.92% ( -0.25) | 66.07% ( 0.25) |
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.84% ( -0.06) | 14.16% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.15% ( -0.11) | 41.84% ( 0.1) |
| Dumbarton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.65% ( -0.27) | 37.34% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.87% ( -0.27) | 74.13% ( 0.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle | Draw | Dumbarton |
| 1-0 @ 10.33% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 10.1% ( 0.07)2-1 @ 9.95% ( -0)3-0 @ 6.58% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 6.48% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 3.22% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.19% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 3.17% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.56% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 1.26% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.24% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.87% Total : 59.95% | 1-1 @ 10.18% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.29% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 4.9% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.14% Total : 21.55% | 0-1 @ 5.21% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 5.02% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 2.57% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.44% Total : 18.48% |
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