SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 57.75%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Edinburgh City had a probability of 18.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.31%) and 1-2 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.24%), while for a Edinburgh City win it was 1-0 (6.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Dunfermline Athletic in this match.
| Result | ||
| Edinburgh City | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
18.45% ( 0.21) | 23.79% ( 0.18) | 57.75% ( -0.4) |
| Both teams to score 46.82% ( -0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.05% ( -0.43) | 52.94% ( 0.43) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.45% ( -0.37) | 74.54% ( 0.36) |
| Edinburgh City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.19% ( -0.01) | 42.81% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.87% ( -0) | 79.12% ( -0) |
| Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.87% ( -0.31) | 18.12% ( 0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.92% ( -0.53) | 49.08% ( 0.52) |
| Score Analysis |
| Edinburgh City | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 6.58% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 4.77% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 2.79% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 1.35% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.15% ( -0)Other @ 1.8% Total : 18.45% | 1-1 @ 11.24% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 7.76% ( 0.13)2-2 @ 4.07% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.72% Total : 23.79% | 0-1 @ 13.25% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 11.31% ( -0.03)1-2 @ 9.6% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 6.44% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 5.47% ( -0.07)0-4 @ 2.75% ( -0.06)1-4 @ 2.33% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 2.32% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.02)0-5 @ 0.94% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.35% Total : 57.75% |
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