Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 36.63%. A win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 34.19% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.51%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Dunfermline Athletic win was 0-1 (11.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
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