SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 45.64%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 26.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.16%) and 1-2 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.92%), while for a Kelty Hearts win it was 1-0 (9.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dunfermline Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kelty Hearts | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
26.39% ( 0.28) | 27.97% ( 0.1) | 45.64% ( -0.38) |
| Both teams to score 44.59% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.32% ( -0.18) | 60.68% ( 0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.24% ( -0.14) | 80.75% ( 0.13) |
| Kelty Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.74% ( 0.15) | 39.26% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.03% ( 0.14) | 75.96% ( -0.14) |
| Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.4% ( -0.28) | 26.59% ( 0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.18% ( -0.37) | 61.81% ( 0.37) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kelty Hearts | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 9.76% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 6.04% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 4.56% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 1.88% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 1.42% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.25% ( 0)Other @ 1.47% Total : 26.39% | 1-1 @ 12.92% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 10.43% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 4% ( -0)Other @ 0.6% Total : 27.95% | 0-1 @ 13.82% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 9.16% ( -0.08)1-2 @ 8.56% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 4.04% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 3.78% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.34% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.25% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.91% Total : 45.63% |
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