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Scottish Challenge Cup | Third Round
Sep 7, 2024 at 3pm UK
Ochilview Park
F

Stenhousemuir
1 - 1
Falkirk

Stenhousemuir win 5-4 on penalties
Alston (84' pen.)
Anderson (30'), Yates (43')
FT
(aet)
Miller (89')
Yeats (65')
Henderson (67')
Coverage of the Scottish Challenge Cup Third Round clash between Stenhousemuir and Falkirk.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stenhousemuir 5-1 Annan
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Morton 2-3 Falkirk
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 51.7%. A win for Stenhousemuir had a probability of 24.95% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.4%) and 0-2 (8.34%). The likeliest Stenhousemuir win was 2-1 (6.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%).

Result
StenhousemuirDrawFalkirk
24.95% (0.0040000000000013 0) 23.35% (0.0019999999999989 0) 51.7% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Both teams to score 57.11% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.29% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)43.71% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.9% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)66.1% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Stenhousemuir Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.77% (0.0030000000000001 0)31.23% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.42% (0.0010000000000048 0)67.58% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)
Falkirk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.05% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)16.95% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.97% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)47.03% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Stenhousemuir 24.95%
    Falkirk 51.7%
    Draw 23.35%
StenhousemuirDrawFalkirk
2-1 @ 6.36% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-0 @ 6.16% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-0 @ 3.58% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-1 @ 2.47% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.19%
3-0 @ 1.39%
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 24.95%
1-1 @ 10.93%
2-2 @ 5.65%
0-0 @ 5.29% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.3%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.35%
1-2 @ 9.7%
0-1 @ 9.4%
0-2 @ 8.34% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-3 @ 5.74% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 4.93% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-3 @ 3.34%
1-4 @ 2.55% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 2.19%
2-4 @ 1.48%
1-5 @ 0.91%
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 51.7%

Read more!
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Form Guide
Last Game: Stenhousemuir 5-1 Annan
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Stenhousemuir 3-2 Cove Rangers
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Alloa 1-0 Stenhousemuir
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Kelty Hearts 2-0 Stenhousemuir
Saturday, August 10 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Stenhousemuir 2-1 Arbroath
Saturday, August 3 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Falkirk 4-0 Stenhousemuir
Saturday, July 27 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Morton 2-3 Falkirk
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Falkirk 2-1 Partick
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Falkirk 2-0 Hearts
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Dunfermline 0-2 Falkirk
Saturday, August 10 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Falkirk 2-1 Queen's Park
Friday, August 2 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Falkirk 4-0 Stenhousemuir
Saturday, July 27 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup


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