SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stenhousemuir win with a probability of 58.69%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Arbroath had a probability of 19.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stenhousemuir win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.12%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.49%), while for an Arbroath win it was 0-1 (5.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stenhousemuir would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Stenhousemuir | Draw | Arbroath |
58.69% ( 0.64) | 22.15% ( -0.3) | 19.16% ( -0.34) |
| Both teams to score 53.03% ( 0.4) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.72% ( 0.81) | 45.28% ( -0.81) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.38% ( 0.77) | 67.62% ( -0.77) |
| Stenhousemuir Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.91% ( 0.49) | 15.1% ( -0.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.36% ( 0.91) | 43.64% ( -0.91) |
| Arbroath Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.46% ( 0.11) | 37.54% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.68% ( 0.11) | 74.32% ( -0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Stenhousemuir | Draw | Arbroath |
| 1-0 @ 10.71% ( -0.19) 2-0 @ 10.12% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 9.93% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 6.38% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 6.26% ( 0.12)3-2 @ 3.07% ( 0.07)4-0 @ 3.02% ( 0.1)4-1 @ 2.96% ( 0.11)4-2 @ 1.45% ( 0.06)5-0 @ 1.14% ( 0.05)5-1 @ 1.12% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.54% Total : 58.68% | 1-1 @ 10.49% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 5.67% ( -0.2)2-2 @ 4.86% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.14% | 0-1 @ 5.55% ( -0.18) 1-2 @ 5.14% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 2.72% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.59% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.47% Total : 19.16% |
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