SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stenhousemuir win with a probability of 46.53%. A win for Annan Athletic had a probability of 28.42% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stenhousemuir win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest Annan Athletic win was 0-1 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stenhousemuir would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Stenhousemuir | Draw | Annan Athletic |
46.53% ( 0.02) | 25.05% ( -0) | 28.42% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 54.52% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.48% ( 0.01) | 48.52% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.36% ( 0.01) | 70.64% ( -0.01) |
| Stenhousemuir Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.12% ( 0.01) | 20.88% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.41% ( 0.02) | 53.59% ( -0.02) |
| Annan Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.92% ( -0) | 31.09% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.59% ( -0.01) | 67.41% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Stenhousemuir | Draw | Annan Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 10.16% 2-1 @ 9.3% ( 0)2-0 @ 7.96% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.86% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.16% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.84% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.9% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.63% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.11% ( 0)Other @ 2.61% Total : 46.53% | 1-1 @ 11.88% 0-0 @ 6.49% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.44% 3-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.05% | 0-1 @ 7.59% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.94% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.43% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.7% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.12% 0-3 @ 1.73% ( -0)Other @ 2.92% Total : 28.42% |
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