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Major League Soccer
Jul 17, 2022 at 10pm UK
Red Bull Arena
NY

NY Red Bulls
0 - 1
NY City


Casseres Jr (84'), Amaya (86'), Nealis (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Castellanos (69')
Morales (41'), Acevedo (71'), Castellanos (88')

Preview: New York Red Bulls vs. New York City FC - prediction, team news, lineups

:Headline: Preview: New York Red Bulls vs. New York City FC - prediction, team news, lineups:
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between New York Red Bulls and New York City FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Sports Mole

The first Hudson River Derby of the 2022 Major League Soccer season takes place at Red Bull Arena on Sunday as the hometown New York Red Bulls host New York City FC.

Both teams are in contention for first place in the Eastern Conference as the Red Bulls are third with 33 points, while the Boys in Blue are just two points ahead of them in second.


Match preview

At long last, it seems as though the club from Harrison, New Jersey, have learned the Red Bull way of playing, as the high press has looked potent and difficult to defend all season.

That approach has served them well throughout the year, as they look like a more patient team willing to wait for the right opportunity to strike, while not panicking when trailing.

They demonstrated that poise last Saturday, drawing FC Cincinnati 1-1, picking up four points from losing positions in two of their previous three encounters.

It took longer than he would have hoped, but the players are buying into that system employed by Gerhard Struber, forcing their opponents into several unforced errors thanks to all of their pressure.

Hanging back while sustaining lots of pressure on the back end has rarely been an issue for this team, who have continued their stingy defensive play from a season ago, currently second in the Eastern Conference in terms of goals conceded with 21.

At the beginning of this campaign, it was their impressive form on the road which captured the headlines with this team, but at the moment, it has been the complete opposite, as they come into this encounter unbeaten at Red Bull Arena in eight successive matches in all competitions.

One of those triumphs came against the Pigeons at the U.S. Open Cup when they held the reigning champions to three shots on goal, while scoring on three of their five efforts on target, winning 3-0.

It looks like the struggles in the Bronx were a mere hiccup for the Boys in Blue, who have won consecutive MLS games for the first time since late May.

Their 1-0 victory over Dallas earlier this week was the first time since the end of May that they had won a road encounter, scoring on their one effort on target while only conceding one themselves.

That run of good form has put Nick Cushing's team back in the hunt for the top spot in the Conference, currently just a point behind the Philadelphia Union with a game in hand.

They may be close to the Red Bulls in proximity, but this group are not similar to them in terms of style, as NYC are a lot more proactive and like to maintain possession for long stretches, plus they usually have the ball for 60% or more in a 90-minute encounter.

The Pigeons can depend on numerous individuals to find the back of the net as eight players have tallied multiple times in 2022, while they have an embarrassment of riches regarding playmakers with 18 assists shared between eight players.

NYCFC have not lost all season when drawing first blood and rarely give you even a half chance when in front, posting seven shutout victories throughout this MLS campaign.

New York Red Bulls Major League Soccer form:
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • D

New York Red Bulls form (all competitions):
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • D

New York City FC Major League Soccer form:
  • D
  • L
  • D
  • D
  • W
  • W

New York City FC form (all competitions):
  • L
  • L
  • D
  • D
  • W
  • W


Team News

Lewis Morgan put home the equaliser for the Red Bulls versus Cincinnati last Saturday from the penalty spot, his ninth of the campaign, while he, Luquinhas, and Omir Fernandez each scored in their 3-0 victory against NYC at the U.S. Open Cup last month when Carlos Coronel stopped three shots to collect a clean sheet.

Aaron Long has had a stellar season on the backline for this team, and he was the only player selected to the all-star roster for that game next month against the Liga MX stars in Minnesota.

Morgan, Fernandez and Patryk Klimala are tied for first on the team in terms of assists with three each and John Tolkin is second in the league regarding interceptions with 39.

Lucas Monzon is still out with a pulled hamstring, AJ Marcucci has an issue with his shoulder, Wikelman Carmona and Andres Reyes are questionable with foot issues and Tom Edwards is also a question mark because of an ankle injury.

Defender Jason Pendant who has been primarily a reserve with the Red Bulls, has been transferred to French club Quevilly-Rouen in Ligue 2, while Ashley Fletcher has returned to Watford in the Championship after his loan deal expired.

Heber had the only goal for NYCFC on Wednesday in the victory at Toyota Stadium, his fifth of the campaign, moving him into a tie for second on the team alongside Talles Magno.

A stingy backline aided goalkeeper Sean Johnson as Thiago Martins, Alfredo Morales and Maxime Chanot only allowed one shot on target, helping Johnson earn his MLS-leading ninth clean sheet this season.

Johnson was one of three players from the defending champions selected for the all-star game, along with Alexander Callens and Valentin Castellanos, who leads the league in goals with 12.

Callens is questionable for this encounter with a lower-body issue, Maxi Moralez missed their midweek fixture with a problem in his upper body, Anton Tinnerholm has a lower body issue as well and Keaton Parks is dealing with a calf strain.

New York Red Bulls possible starting lineup:
Coronel; Tolkin, Long, D. Nealis, Edwards; Casseres, Amaya; Morgan, Luquinhas, Barlow; Klimala

New York City FC possible starting lineup:
Johnson; Gray, Martins, Amundsen, Chanot; Andrade, Acevedo, Pereira; Magno, Rodriguez; Castellanos


We say: New York Red Bulls 2-1 New York City FC

These are two evenly matched teams on paper, having both allowed the same amount of goals, though Red Bull Arena is the deciding factor in this one, as the home side have settled into quite the groove there, and when that home crowd is on you, it can be highly challenging to compete against them and that high press.


For data analysis of the most likely results, scorelines and more for this match please click here.


Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:data


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Premier League Table

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1163226161021
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati10532129318
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls104511410417
4Toronto105141113-216
5Columbus Crew10361129315
6New York City FCNY City104241110114
7Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia83411511413
8DC United103431415-113
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta9333139412
10CF MontrealMontreal93331216-412
11Charlotte FCCharlotte FC103251013-311
12Chicago Fire102441118-710
13Orlando City92341117-69
14Nashville SCNashville91531017-78
15New England RevolutionNew England9117618-124

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake10532179818
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy105322117418
3Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver95221810817
4Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd95221510517
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles104331816215
6Colorado RapidsColorado104331615115
7Austin FCAustin104331413115
8Houston DynamoHouston9414910-113
9St Louis City92611514112
10Sporting Kansas CityKansas102531818011
11Portland TimbersPortland102442021-110
12Dallas9225912-38
13Seattle SoundersSeattle91351011-16
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes101181425-114
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