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NY
Major League Soccer
Jul 17, 2022 at 10pm UK
Red Bull Arena
NY
NY Red Bulls
0 - 1
NY City

Casseres Jr (84'), Amaya (86'), Nealis (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Castellanos (69')
Morales (41'), Acevedo (71'), Castellanos (88')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: New York Red Bulls 2-1 New York City FC

These are two evenly matched teams on paper, having both allowed the same amount of goals, though Red Bull Arena is the deciding factor in this one, as the home side have settled into quite the groove there, and when that home crowd is on you, it can be highly challenging to compete against them and that high press. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 42.3%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 30.82% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (7.75%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 0-1 (9.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.

Result
New York Red BullsDrawNew York City FC
42.3% (0.561 0.56) 26.88% (0.127 0.13) 30.82% (-0.686 -0.69)
Both teams to score 50.1% (-0.659 -0.66)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.13% (-0.714 -0.71)54.87% (0.715 0.71)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.84% (-0.593 -0.59)76.16% (0.59400000000001 0.59)
New York Red Bulls Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.35% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)25.65% (0.035 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.46% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)60.54% (0.047000000000004 0.05)
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.38% (-0.85299999999999 -0.85)32.62% (0.854 0.85)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.84% (-0.967 -0.97)69.16% (0.968 0.97)
Score Analysis
    New York Red Bulls 42.29%
    New York City FC 30.82%
    Draw 26.88%
New York Red BullsDrawNew York City FC
1-0 @ 11.38% (0.3 0.3)
2-1 @ 8.68% (0.020999999999999 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.75% (0.198 0.2)
3-1 @ 3.94% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.51% (0.087 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.21% (-0.048 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.34% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.2% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 42.29%
1-1 @ 12.75% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 8.37% (0.229 0.23)
2-2 @ 4.86% (-0.103 -0.1)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 26.88%
0-1 @ 9.37% (0.042 0.04)
1-2 @ 7.14% (-0.144 -0.14)
0-2 @ 5.25% (-0.1 -0.1)
1-3 @ 2.67% (-0.118 -0.12)
0-3 @ 1.96% (-0.085 -0.09)
2-3 @ 1.82% (-0.082 -0.08)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 30.82%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Cincinnati 1-1 NY Red Bulls
Sunday, July 10 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Kansas 0-1 NY Red Bulls
Monday, July 4 at 1am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY Red Bulls 2-1 Atlanta
Friday, July 1 at 1am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Los Angeles 2-0 NY Red Bulls
Sunday, June 26 at 8pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY Red Bulls 2-0 Toronto
Sunday, June 19 at 12am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Charlotte FC 2-0 NY Red Bulls
Saturday, June 11 at 8pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Dallas 0-1 NY City
Thursday, July 14 at 2am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY City 4-2 New England
Saturday, July 9 at 6pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY City 2-2 Atlanta
Sunday, July 3 at 10pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Cincinnati 4-4 NY City
Thursday, June 30 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Philadelphia 2-1 NY City
Sunday, June 26 at 11pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY City 1-1 Colorado
Sunday, June 19 at 10pm in Major League Soccer

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