SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Akhmat Grozny win with a probability of 38.34%. A win for FC Krasnodar had a probability of 36.63% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for an Akhmat Grozny win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.35%) and 2-0 (6.03%). The likeliest FC Krasnodar win was 1-2 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Akhmat Grozny | Draw | FC Krasnodar |
38.34% ( -0.34) | 25.02% ( 0.16) | 36.63% ( 0.18) |
| Both teams to score 57.67% ( -0.56) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.23% ( -0.72) | 45.77% ( 0.72) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.91% ( -0.69) | 68.08% ( 0.69) |
| Akhmat Grozny Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.4% ( -0.5) | 23.6% ( 0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.32% ( -0.72) | 57.68% ( 0.72) |
| FC Krasnodar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.48% ( -0.23) | 24.51% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.02% ( -0.33) | 58.98% ( 0.33) |
| Score Analysis |
| Akhmat Grozny | Draw | FC Krasnodar |
| 2-1 @ 8.48% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 8.35% ( 0.13)2-0 @ 6.03% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.08% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 2.9% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.87% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 1.47% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 1.05% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.04% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.07% Total : 38.34% | 1-1 @ 11.74% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 5.96% ( -0.07)0-0 @ 5.79% ( 0.18)3-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.19% Total : 25.02% | 1-2 @ 8.26% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 8.13% ( 0.2)0-2 @ 5.72% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 3.87% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.79% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 2.68% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1.36% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 0.94% ( 0)Other @ 1.9% Total : 36.63% |
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