SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Akhmat Grozny win with a probability of 45.77%. A win for FC Krasnodar had a probability of 29.23% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for an Akhmat Grozny win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest FC Krasnodar win was 0-1 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Akhmat Grozny | Draw | FC Krasnodar |
45.77% ( -1.02) | 25% ( 0.13) | 29.23% ( 0.88) |
| Both teams to score 55.21% ( 0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.13% ( -0.08) | 47.86% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.95% ( -0.07) | 70.05% ( 0.07) |
| Akhmat Grozny Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.05% ( -0.48) | 20.95% ( 0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.3% ( -0.75) | 53.7% ( 0.74) |
| FC Krasnodar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.84% ( 0.6) | 30.16% ( -0.6) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.69% ( 0.71) | 66.31% ( -0.72) |
| Score Analysis |
| Akhmat Grozny | Draw | FC Krasnodar |
| 1-0 @ 9.88% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 9.25% ( -0.09)2-0 @ 7.72% ( -0.2)3-1 @ 4.82% ( -0.12)3-0 @ 4.02% ( -0.17)3-2 @ 2.89% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.88% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 1.57% ( -0.09)4-2 @ 1.13% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.61% Total : 45.77% | 1-1 @ 11.83% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 6.32% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.55% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.99% | 0-1 @ 7.57% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 7.1% ( 0.15)0-2 @ 4.54% ( 0.16)1-3 @ 2.84% ( 0.11)2-3 @ 2.22% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 1.81% ( 0.09)Other @ 3.16% Total : 29.23% |
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