Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Krasnodar win with a probability of 45.37%. A win for Akhmat Grozny had a probability of 28.97% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Krasnodar win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Akhmat Grozny win was 0-1 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
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