Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Tula win with a probability of 44.32%. A win for Akhmat Grozny had a probability of 30% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Tula win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Akhmat Grozny win was 0-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.