Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rubin Kazan win with a probability of 43.03%. A win for Arsenal Tula had a probability of 31.21% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rubin Kazan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.94%) and 0-2 (7.42%). The likeliest Arsenal Tula win was 1-0 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rubin Kazan would win this match.
