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Russian Premier League | Gameweek 2
Jul 30, 2021 at 5pm UK
Arsenal Stadium

Arsenal Tula
0 - 3
Rubin Kazan


Kostadinov (33'), Smolnikov (53')
FT(HT: 0-3)
In-beom (12'), Despotovic (37' pen.), Kvaratskhelia (40')
Begic (24'), Bakaev (70')
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Arsenal Tula and Rubin Kazan.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rubin Kazan win with a probability of 43.03%. A win for Arsenal Tula had a probability of 31.21% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rubin Kazan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.94%) and 0-2 (7.42%). The likeliest Arsenal Tula win was 1-0 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rubin Kazan would win this match.

Result
Arsenal TulaDrawRubin Kazan
31.21%25.77%43.03%
Both teams to score 53.75%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.76%50.24%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.81%72.19%
Arsenal Tula Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.01%29.99%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.89%66.11%
Rubin Kazan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.78%23.23%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.87%57.13%
Score Analysis
    Arsenal Tula 31.21%
    Rubin Kazan 43.02%
    Draw 25.76%
Arsenal TulaDrawRubin Kazan
1-0 @ 8.39%
2-1 @ 7.37%
2-0 @ 5.05%
3-1 @ 2.96%
3-2 @ 2.16%
3-0 @ 2.03%
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 31.21%
1-1 @ 12.24%
0-0 @ 6.96%
2-2 @ 5.38%
3-3 @ 1.05%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.76%
0-1 @ 10.16%
1-2 @ 8.94%
0-2 @ 7.42%
1-3 @ 4.35%
0-3 @ 3.61%
2-3 @ 2.62%
1-4 @ 1.59%
0-4 @ 1.32%
2-4 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 43.02%

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