Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Moscow win with a probability of 51.24%. A win for Rubin Kazan had a probability of 25% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.68%) and 0-2 (8.53%). The likeliest Rubin Kazan win was 1-0 (6.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
