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Russian Premier League | Gameweek 13
Oct 31, 2020 at 11am UK
Tsentralnyi Stadion

Rubin Kazan
3 - 1
Arsenal Tula

Starfelt (20'), Despotovic (22'), Bakaev (53')
Samoshnikov (63'), Kosarev (90+3')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Panchenko (83')
Kangwa (55'), Belyaev (86')
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Rubin Kazan and Arsenal Tula.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rubin Kazan win with a probability of 42.06%. A draw had a probability of 29% and a win for Arsenal Tula had a probability of 28.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rubin Kazan win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.42%) and 2-1 (8.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.24%), while for an Arsenal Tula win it was 0-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rubin Kazan would win this match.

Result
Rubin KazanDrawArsenal Tula
42.06%29.01%28.93%
Both teams to score 43.36%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.04%62.96%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.56%82.44%
Rubin Kazan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.4%29.6%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.36%65.64%
Arsenal Tula Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.6%38.4%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.84%75.15%
Score Analysis
    Rubin Kazan 42.05%
    Arsenal Tula 28.93%
    Draw 29%
Rubin KazanDrawArsenal Tula
1-0 @ 13.83%
2-0 @ 8.42%
2-1 @ 8.06%
3-0 @ 3.42%
3-1 @ 3.27%
3-2 @ 1.57%
4-0 @ 1.04%
4-1 @ 1%
Other @ 1.45%
Total : 42.05%
1-1 @ 13.24%
0-0 @ 11.36%
2-2 @ 3.86%
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 29%
0-1 @ 10.88%
1-2 @ 6.34%
0-2 @ 5.21%
1-3 @ 2.02%
0-3 @ 1.66%
2-3 @ 1.23%
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 28.93%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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