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Russian Premier League | Gameweek 5
Aug 21, 2021 at 2pm UK
Arsenal Stadium

Arsenal Tula
1 - 1
Spartak Moscow

Khlusevich (82')
Smolnikov (16'), Markov (37'), Guliev (41'), Novoseltsev (50'), Khlusevich (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Ponce (76')
Zobnin (32'), Hendrix (75'), Larsson (86'), Rasskazov (90+7')
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Arsenal Tula and Spartak Moscow.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Moscow win with a probability of 54.01%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Arsenal Tula had a probability of 22.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.82%) and 0-2 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.86%), while for an Arsenal Tula win it was 1-0 (6.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.

Result
Arsenal TulaDrawSpartak Moscow
22.91%23.07%54.01%
Both teams to score 55.66%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.48%44.51%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.12%66.88%
Arsenal Tula Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.59%33.41%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.96%70.04%
Spartak Moscow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.59%16.41%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.93%46.07%
Score Analysis
    Arsenal Tula 22.91%
    Spartak Moscow 54.01%
    Draw 23.07%
Arsenal TulaDrawSpartak Moscow
1-0 @ 6.01%
2-1 @ 5.95%
2-0 @ 3.29%
3-1 @ 2.18%
3-2 @ 1.97%
3-0 @ 1.2%
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 22.91%
1-1 @ 10.86%
0-0 @ 5.48%
2-2 @ 5.38%
3-3 @ 1.19%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.07%
0-1 @ 9.91%
1-2 @ 9.82%
0-2 @ 8.95%
1-3 @ 5.91%
0-3 @ 5.4%
2-3 @ 3.24%
1-4 @ 2.67%
0-4 @ 2.44%
2-4 @ 1.47%
1-5 @ 0.97%
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 54.01%

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