SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rubin Kazan win with a probability of 52.34%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Fakel had a probability of 21.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rubin Kazan win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.42%) and 2-1 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.1%), while for a Fakel win it was 0-1 (7.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Rubin Kazan in this match.
| Result | ||
| Rubin Kazan | Draw | Fakel |
52.34% ( -0.02) | 25.8% ( -0.06) | 21.86% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 46.12% ( 0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.51% ( 0.3) | 56.49% ( -0.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.52% ( 0.24) | 77.49% ( -0.23) |
| Rubin Kazan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.35% ( 0.11) | 21.65% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.23% ( 0.17) | 54.78% ( -0.17) |
| Fakel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.86% ( 0.25) | 41.14% ( -0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.32% ( 0.23) | 77.68% ( -0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rubin Kazan | Draw | Fakel |
| 1-0 @ 13.62% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 10.42% ( -0.05)2-1 @ 9.26% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 5.32% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.72% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.1% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 2.04% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.81% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.04% Total : 52.33% | 1-1 @ 12.1% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.91% ( -0.1)2-2 @ 4.11% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.68% Total : 25.8% | 0-1 @ 7.91% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 5.38% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 3.51% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.59% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.21% Total : 21.86% |
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