SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sochi win with a probability of 41.55%. A win for Rubin Kazan had a probability of 31.24% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sochi win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest Rubin Kazan win was 0-1 (9.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sochi | Draw | Rubin Kazan |
41.55% ( -0.31) | 27.2% ( 0.04) | 31.24% ( 0.27) |
| Both teams to score 49.31% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.04% ( -0.08) | 55.95% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.95% ( -0.06) | 77.05% ( 0.06) |
| Sochi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.46% ( -0.2) | 26.53% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.26% ( -0.26) | 61.74% ( 0.26) |
| Rubin Kazan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.12% ( 0.15) | 32.88% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.55% ( 0.17) | 69.45% ( -0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sochi | Draw | Rubin Kazan |
| 1-0 @ 11.57% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.54% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 7.68% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 3.78% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 3.4% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.1% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.25% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.13% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.1% Total : 41.55% | 1-1 @ 12.87% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.72% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 4.75% ( -0)Other @ 0.86% Total : 27.2% | 0-1 @ 9.7% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 7.16% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 5.4% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 2.66% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.76% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.56% Total : 31.24% |
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