SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ural Yekaterinburg win with a probability of 40.07%. A win for Rubin Kazan had a probability of 31.67% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ural Yekaterinburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.14%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Rubin Kazan win was 0-1 (10.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ural Yekaterinburg | Draw | Rubin Kazan |
40.07% ( -1.37) | 28.25% ( 0.36) | 31.67% ( 1.01) |
| Both teams to score 46.42% ( -0.66) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.33% ( -0.99) | 59.67% ( 0.99) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.02% ( -0.77) | 79.98% ( 0.77) |
| Ural Yekaterinburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.88% ( -1.24) | 29.11% ( 1.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.96% ( -1.57) | 65.04% ( 1.57) |
| Rubin Kazan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.48% ( 0.22) | 34.52% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.76% ( 0.23) | 71.23% ( -0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ural Yekaterinburg | Draw | Rubin Kazan |
| 1-0 @ 12.4% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 8.14% ( -0.22)2-0 @ 7.65% ( -0.25)3-1 @ 3.35% ( -0.21)3-0 @ 3.15% ( -0.22)3-2 @ 1.78% ( -0.1)4-1 @ 1.03% ( -0.1)4-0 @ 0.97% ( -0.1)Other @ 1.61% Total : 40.07% | 1-1 @ 13.19% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 10.05% ( 0.37)2-2 @ 4.33% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.69% Total : 28.25% | 0-1 @ 10.69% ( 0.46) 1-2 @ 7.02% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 5.69% ( 0.27)1-3 @ 2.49% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 2.02% ( 0.11)2-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.24% Total : 31.67% |
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