SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Moscow win with a probability of 61.61%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Fakel had a probability of 16.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.85%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.16%), while for a Fakel win it was 0-1 (5.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dynamo Moscow | Draw | Fakel |
61.61% ( 1.23) | 21.4% ( -0.48) | 16.99% ( -0.75) |
| Both teams to score 51.35% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.55% ( 0.83) | 45.45% ( -0.84) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.22% ( 0.79) | 67.78% ( -0.79) |
| Dynamo Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.77% ( 0.66) | 14.22% ( -0.66) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.03% ( 1.28) | 41.96% ( -1.28) |
| Fakel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.87% ( -0.39) | 40.13% ( 0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.23% ( -0.36) | 76.77% ( 0.36) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dynamo Moscow | Draw | Fakel |
| 1-0 @ 11.13% ( -0.13) 2-0 @ 10.85% ( 0.13)2-1 @ 9.91% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 7.06% ( 0.24)3-1 @ 6.44% ( 0.15)4-0 @ 3.44% ( 0.2)4-1 @ 3.14% ( 0.15)3-2 @ 2.94% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.43% ( 0.05)5-0 @ 1.34% ( 0.11)5-1 @ 1.23% ( 0.08)Other @ 2.69% Total : 61.61% | 1-1 @ 10.16% ( -0.23) 0-0 @ 5.71% ( -0.21)2-2 @ 4.53% ( -0.04)Other @ 1% Total : 21.39% | 0-1 @ 5.21% ( -0.25) 1-2 @ 4.64% ( -0.16)0-2 @ 2.38% ( -0.14)1-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.97% Total : 16.99% |
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