SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Moscow win with a probability of 57.26%. A win for Orenburg had a probability of 21.72% and a draw had a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Moscow win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.1%) and 1-0 (7.84%). The likeliest Orenburg win was 1-2 (5.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dynamo Moscow would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dynamo Moscow | Draw | Orenburg |
57.26% ( -0.49) | 21.02% ( 0.16) | 21.72% ( 0.33) |
| Both teams to score 61.18% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.52% ( -0.34) | 36.48% ( 0.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.38% ( -0.37) | 58.62% ( 0.37) |
| Dynamo Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.37% ( -0.25) | 12.64% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.23% ( -0.52) | 38.78% ( 0.52) |
| Orenburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.03% ( 0.1) | 29.97% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.91% ( 0.12) | 66.09% ( -0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dynamo Moscow | Draw | Orenburg |
| 2-1 @ 9.76% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.1% ( -0.02)1-0 @ 7.84% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 6.73% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 5.59% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 4.06% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 3.48% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 2.89% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 2.1% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 1.44% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 1.2% ( -0.04)Other @ 4.08% Total : 57.26% | 1-1 @ 9.44% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 5.88% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 3.79% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.28% Total : 21.02% | 1-2 @ 5.69% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 4.56% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 2.75% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 2.36% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.28% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.97% Total : 21.72% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
