SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Akhmat Grozny win with a probability of 38%. A win for Rubin Kazan had a probability of 35.49% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Akhmat Grozny win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.3%) and 2-0 (6.57%). The likeliest Rubin Kazan win was 0-1 (9.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Akhmat Grozny | Draw | Rubin Kazan |
38% ( 0.2) | 26.5% ( 0) | 35.49% ( -0.21) |
| Both teams to score 52.49% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.63% ( -0.03) | 52.36% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.95% ( -0.02) | 74.05% ( 0.02) |
| Akhmat Grozny Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.19% ( 0.1) | 26.81% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.89% ( 0.14) | 62.1% ( -0.14) |
| Rubin Kazan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.71% ( -0.14) | 28.28% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36% ( -0.17) | 64% ( 0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Akhmat Grozny | Draw | Rubin Kazan |
| 1-0 @ 9.98% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 8.3% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 6.57% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 3.64% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.88% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.3% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.2% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 0.95% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.18% Total : 38% | 1-1 @ 12.6% 0-0 @ 7.58% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.24% ( -0)3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.5% | 0-1 @ 9.58% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.96% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 6.05% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 3.35% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 2.55% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.75% Total : 35.49% |
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