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Russian Premier League | Gameweek 25
Apr 21, 2024 at 2.15pm UK
Saint Petersburg Stadium

Zenit
1 - 0
Orenburg

Claudinho (23')
Nino (82')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Perez (44'), Deogracia (45'), Goglichidze (55'), Sidorov (66'), Prokhin (70')
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Zenit St Petersburg and Orenburg.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Krasnodar 1-2 Zenit
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Orenburg 3-1 Nizhny Novgorod
Sunday, April 14 at 10am in Russian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 72.93%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for Orenburg had a probability of 10.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.76%) and 3-0 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.8%), while for a Orenburg win it was 0-1 (3.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zenit St Petersburg would win this match.

Result
Zenit St PetersburgDrawOrenburg
72.93% (0.036000000000001 0.04) 16.51% (-0.029 -0.03) 10.55% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
Both teams to score 50.06% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.09% (0.118 0.12)37.9% (-0.116 -0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.84% (0.124 0.12)60.16% (-0.123 -0.12)
Zenit St Petersburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.97% (0.037999999999997 0.04)9.03% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.26% (0.090000000000003 0.09)30.73% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
Orenburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.02% (0.067 0.07)44.97% (-0.067 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.08% (0.053999999999998 0.05)80.91% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Zenit St Petersburg 72.93%
    Orenburg 10.55%
    Draw 16.51%
Zenit St PetersburgDrawOrenburg
2-0 @ 11.74% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-0 @ 9.76% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-0 @ 9.41% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-1 @ 9.38% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-1 @ 7.52% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
4-0 @ 5.66% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
4-1 @ 4.52% (0.014 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.01% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
5-0 @ 2.72% (0.008 0.01)
5-1 @ 2.18% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.81% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
6-0 @ 1.09% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 4.14%
Total : 72.93%
1-1 @ 7.8% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.06% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-2 @ 3.75% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 16.51%
0-1 @ 3.24% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-2 @ 3.12% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-2 @ 1.3% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 1% (0.003 0)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 10.55%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Krasnodar 1-2 Zenit
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Zenit 1-0 Baltika
Sunday, April 7 at 2.30pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Krylia Sovetov 1-1 Zenit
Saturday, March 30 at 11am in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Ural 1-4 Zenit
Saturday, March 9 at 11am in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Zenit 0-0 Spartak Moscow
Saturday, March 2 at 4.30pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Zenit 1-0 Nizhny Novgorod
Saturday, December 9 at 4.45pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Orenburg 3-1 Nizhny Novgorod
Sunday, April 14 at 10am in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Orenburg 3-0 Rubin Kazan
Monday, April 8 at 3pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Fakel 0-0 Orenburg
Sunday, March 31 at 12pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Orenburg 1-0 Baltika
Sunday, March 10 at 11am in Russian Premier League
Last Game: CSKA 1-1 Orenburg
Saturday, March 2 at 11am in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Sochi 1-1 Orenburg
Sunday, December 10 at 1.30pm in Russian Premier League


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