SM
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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 72.93%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for Orenburg had a probability of 10.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.76%) and 3-0 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.8%), while for a Orenburg win it was 0-1 (3.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zenit St Petersburg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Zenit St Petersburg | Draw | Orenburg |
72.93% ( 0.04) | 16.51% ( -0.03) | 10.55% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 50.06% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.09% ( 0.12) | 37.9% ( -0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.84% ( 0.12) | 60.16% ( -0.12) |
| Zenit St Petersburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.97% ( 0.04) | 9.03% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.26% ( 0.09) | 30.73% ( -0.09) |
| Orenburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.02% ( 0.07) | 44.97% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.08% ( 0.05) | 80.91% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Zenit St Petersburg | Draw | Orenburg |
| 2-0 @ 11.74% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 9.76% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 9.41% ( -0)2-1 @ 9.38% ( -0)3-1 @ 7.52% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 5.66% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 4.52% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.01% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 2.72% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 2.18% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.81% ( 0.01)6-0 @ 1.09% ( 0)Other @ 4.14% Total : 72.93% | 1-1 @ 7.8% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.06% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 3.75% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.9% Total : 16.51% | 0-1 @ 3.24% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 3.12% ( -0)0-2 @ 1.3% ( -0)2-3 @ 1% ( 0)Other @ 1.9% Total : 10.55% |
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