Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Krasnodar win with a probability of 70.5%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Nizhny Novgorod had a probability of 12.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Krasnodar win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 1-0 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.05%), while for a Nizhny Novgorod win it was 1-2 (3.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.
