Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Krasnodar win with a probability of 54.64%. A win for Spartak Moscow had a probability of 23.77% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Krasnodar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.69%) and 1-0 (7.67%). The likeliest Spartak Moscow win was 1-2 (6.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for FC Krasnodar in this match.
