Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Krasnodar win with a probability of 59.38%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Khimki had a probability of 17.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Krasnodar win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.79%) and 1-2 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.02%), while for a Khimki win it was 1-0 (6.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.