Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Krasnodar win with a probability of 42.35%. A win for Sochi had a probability of 33.16% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Krasnodar win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.38%) and 0-2 (6.57%). The likeliest Sochi win was 2-1 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for FC Krasnodar in this match.
