Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Krasnodar win with a probability of 48.29%. A win for Sochi had a probability of 27.54% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Krasnodar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.45%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Sochi win was 1-2 (6.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Krasnodar would win this match.
