Krasnodar
3 - 2
Arsenal Tula

Cabella (24'), Gazinskiy (29'), Cordoba (37')
Chernikov (56')

FT(HT: 3-1)

Lutsenko (10', 86')
Parfyonov (50'), Bjornstrom (65'), Novoseltsev (88')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between FC Krasnodar and Arsenal Tula.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Krasnodar win with a probability of 51.61%. A win for Arsenal Tula had a probability of 25.11% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Krasnodar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.24%) and 2-0 (8.24%). The likeliest Arsenal Tula win was 1-2 (6.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Krasnodar would win this match.

Result
FC Krasnodar	Draw	Arsenal Tula
51.61%	23.27%	25.11%

Both teams to score 57.56%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.8%

43.19%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.41%

65.59%

FC Krasnodar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.21%

16.79%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.25%

46.75%

Arsenal Tula Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.17%

30.83%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.9%

67.1%

Score Analysis

FC Krasnodar 51.61%

Arsenal Tula 25.11%

Draw 23.26%

FC Krasnodar	Draw	Arsenal Tula
2-1 @ 9.7% 1-0 @ 9.24% 2-0 @ 8.24% 3-1 @ 5.77% 3-0 @ 4.9% 3-2 @ 3.39% 4-1 @ 2.57% 4-0 @ 2.19% 4-2 @ 1.51% 5-1 @ 0.92% Other @ 3.18% Total : 51.61%	1-1 @ 10.86% 2-2 @ 5.71% 0-0 @ 5.18% 3-3 @ 1.33% Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.26%	1-2 @ 6.4% 0-1 @ 6.09% 0-2 @ 3.58% 1-3 @ 2.51% 2-3 @ 2.24% 0-3 @ 1.41% Other @ 2.89% Total : 25.11%