SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Krylia Sovetov win with a probability of 39.21%. A win for Sochi had a probability of 34.06% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Krylia Sovetov win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (6.92%). The likeliest Sochi win was 0-1 (9.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Krylia Sovetov would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Krylia Sovetov | Draw | Sochi |
| 39.21% | 26.73% | 34.06% |
| Both teams to score 51.57% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.56% | 53.44% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.03% | 74.97% |
| Krylia Sovetov Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.36% | 26.64% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.12% | 61.87% |
| Sochi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.29% | 29.7% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.24% | 65.76% |
| Score Analysis |
| Krylia Sovetov | Draw | Sochi |
| 1-0 @ 10.46% 2-1 @ 8.4% 2-0 @ 6.92% 3-1 @ 3.71% 3-0 @ 3.05% 3-2 @ 2.25% 4-1 @ 1.23% 4-0 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.18% Total : 39.21% | 1-1 @ 12.7% 0-0 @ 7.91% 2-2 @ 5.1% 3-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.72% | 0-1 @ 9.6% 1-2 @ 7.71% 0-2 @ 5.83% 1-3 @ 3.12% 0-3 @ 2.36% 2-3 @ 2.06% 1-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.42% Total : 34.06% |
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