Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Akhmat Grozny win with a probability of 38.24%. A win for FC Ufa had a probability of 33.29% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Akhmat Grozny win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.89%) and 0-2 (7.24%). The likeliest FC Ufa win was 1-0 (11.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.