Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Akhmat Grozny win with a probability of 39.31%. A win for FC Ufa had a probability of 33.97% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Akhmat Grozny win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.42%) and 0-2 (6.94%). The likeliest FC Ufa win was 1-0 (9.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.