Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lokomotiv Moscow win with a probability of 37.42%. A win for CSKA Moscow had a probability of 36.62% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lokomotiv Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.3%) and 2-0 (6.24%). The likeliest CSKA Moscow win was 0-1 (9.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lokomotiv Moscow would win this match.
