Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 67.63%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Lokomotiv Moscow had a probability of 9.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-0 with a probability of 19.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (16.58%) and 3-0 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.67%), while for a Lokomotiv Moscow win it was 0-1 (5.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 16.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.