SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Moscow win with a probability of 60.12%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Orenburg had a probability of 18.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.47%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.33%), while for a Orenburg win it was 0-1 (5.38%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CSKA Moscow would win this match.
| Result | ||
| CSKA Moscow | Draw | Orenburg |
60.12% ( -0.13) | 21.79% ( 0.01) | 18.09% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 52.27% ( 0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.67% ( 0.15) | 45.33% ( -0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.34% ( 0.14) | 67.67% ( -0.14) |
| CSKA Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.35% ( 0.01) | 14.65% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.21% ( 0.01) | 42.79% ( -0.01) |
| Orenburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.24% ( 0.23) | 38.76% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.51% ( 0.21) | 75.49% ( -0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| CSKA Moscow | Draw | Orenburg |
| 1-0 @ 10.9% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 10.47% ( -0.06)2-1 @ 9.93% ( 0)3-0 @ 6.71% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 6.36% ( 0)4-0 @ 3.22% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 3.05% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.01% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.45% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.24% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.17% ( 0)Other @ 2.62% Total : 60.11% | 1-1 @ 10.33% 0-0 @ 5.68% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 4.71% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 21.78% | 0-1 @ 5.38% 1-2 @ 4.9% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 2.55% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.49% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.22% Total : 18.09% |
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