Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Moscow win with a probability of 68.05%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Khimki had a probability of 12.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Moscow win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.84%) and 1-2 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.33%), while for a Khimki win it was 1-0 (4.58%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.
