SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Moscow win with a probability of 44.71%. A win for Nizhny Novgorod had a probability of 28.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.86%) and 0-2 (8.39%). The likeliest Nizhny Novgorod win was 1-0 (9.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CSKA Moscow would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nizhny Novgorod | Draw | CSKA Moscow |
28.47% ( -0.13) | 26.82% ( 0.01) | 44.71% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 49.11% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.42% ( -0.09) | 55.58% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.26% ( -0.08) | 76.74% ( 0.08) |
| Nizhny Novgorod Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.25% ( -0.15) | 34.75% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.52% ( -0.16) | 71.48% ( 0.16) |
| CSKA Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.26% ( 0.02) | 24.74% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.7% ( 0.02) | 59.3% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nizhny Novgorod | Draw | CSKA Moscow |
| 1-0 @ 9.09% ( -0) 2-1 @ 6.71% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 4.8% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 2.36% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 1.69% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.65% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.17% Total : 28.47% | 1-1 @ 12.69% 0-0 @ 8.6% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 4.68% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.84% Total : 26.82% | 0-1 @ 12% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 8.86% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 8.39% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 4.13% ( 0)0-3 @ 3.9% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.44% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.36% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.44% Total : 44.71% |
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